Conf = NAIA - Appalachia State = KY
Nickname = Patriots Coach = Kelly BuikusGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.0254822 home-field advantage = -0.48 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Marian (IN) NAIA - WHAC ( 9- 6, 93.3) 16-15 223 A Keiser NAIA - Sun (10- 7, 95.2) 21- 9 226 A Ave Maria NAIA - Sun ( 7- 6, 94.3) 11- 3 301 A Life NAIA - Sun (11- 5, 95.2) 12-11 304 H Benedictine (KS) NAIA - Heart (13- 3, 95.3) 19- 9 307 H Albion MIAA ( 7- 8, 74.0) 15- 3 310 H Indiana Tech NAIA - WHAC (13- 3, 94.6) 17-13 312 H Missouri Baptist NAIA - KCAC (15- 2, 95.2) 18-13 316 A Siena Heights NAIA - WHAC ( 7- 8, 88.6) 19-40 318 H Lawrence Tech NAIA - WHAC (13- 1, 96.2) 12- 9 321 H Reinhardt NAIA - Appala (14- 1, 99.9) 9-10 323 H Oberlin North Coast ( 5-12, 80.2) 14- 3 327 A Montreat NAIA - Appala ( 7- 8, 87.3) 21- 1 330 H St Andrews NAIA - Appala ( 1-11, 74.3) 23- 1 401 H Ottawa NAIA - KCAC ( 7- 8, 88.8) 22- 2 403 H Tennessee Wesleyan NAIA - Appala ( 3-12, 82.7) 21- 2 405 H Truett McConnell NAIA - Appala ( 3-12, 81.4) 24- 2 410 A Georgetown KY NAIA - Appala ( 6-12, 88.4) 18- 8 419 H Montreat NAIA - Appala ( 7- 8, 87.3) 26- 5 420 H Reinhardt NAIA - Appala (14- 1, 99.9) 11-17 501 N Keiser NAIA - Sun (10- 7, 95.2)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Marian (IN) 16-15 1 4 - -3.21 223 A Keiser 21- 9 12 1 ++ 5.64 226 A Ave Maria 11- 3 8 2 ++ 4.76 301 A Life 12-11 1 1 -0.36 304 H Benedictine (KS) 19- 9 10 2 ++ 4.84 307 H Albion 15- 3 12 23 n/a 310 H Indiana Tech 17-13 4 2 1.15 312 H Missouri Baptist 18-13 5 2 + 2.68 316 A Siena Heights 19-40 -21 7 --- -14.00 318 H Lawrence Tech 12- 9 3 1 1.74 321 H Reinhardt 9-10 -1 -2 1.40 323 H Oberlin 14- 3 11 17 n/a 327 A Montreat 21- 1 20 9 0.00 330 H St Andrews 23- 1 22 23 0.00 401 H Ottawa 22- 2 20 8 0.00 403 H Tennessee Wesleyan 21- 2 19 14 0.00 405 H Truett McConnell 24- 2 22 16 0.00 410 A Georgetown KY 18- 8 10 8 0.00 419 H Montreat 26- 5 21 10 0.00 420 H Reinhardt 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.60UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Siena Heights 19-40 -21 7 --- -14.00 217 H Marian (IN) 16-15 1 4 - -3.21 420 H Reinhardt 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A Keiser 21- 9 12 1 ++ 5.64 226 A Ave Maria 11- 3 8 2 ++ 4.76 304 H Benedictine (KS) 19- 9 10 2 ++ 4.84 312 H Missouri Baptist 18-13 5 2 + 2.68
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.03 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 77.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6193 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 7 RPI Rating............... .6446 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 8.5 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 12 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 180. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 185. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 17.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.3